The Impacts of a Disaster on Small Communities

By William Benson

    In the post 9/11 world, people have come to understand that large cities have the potential to be powerful targets for terrorists. A significant amount of effort and funding has been expended to increase the capability of public services’ ability to respond to this threat. In rural communities, emergency planning generally does not address terrorist related events, and instead focuses on known natural disasters. Every small town has some memory of a significant event in its past, whether it be tornadoes, winter storms, flooding, or wildfires, and their local First Responders develop their emergency response plans accordingly. Rural emergency planners believe that the history of terrorist-related events suggest that smaller communities are not the preferred target of terrorists and many communities believe themselves safe from the effects of a terrorist attack. Unfortunately, this belief creates a false sense of security. The likelihood of a targeted terrorist attack against a small town is extremely low, but this does not mean that a successful attack against a neighboring large city won’t have a catastrophic impact. Small town emergency response plans generally address the needs of the townsfolk. First Response assets, emergency shelters, and procedures to establish communications and logistical infrastructures are geared to protect the town. For the most part, these plans are pragmatic, well-thought out, and reviewed for improvements on a continual basis. Smaller towns, especially rural towns, are self-sufficient, less reliant on technology, and are able to easily withstand loss of telephones and electricity, as these events might be common during periods of extreme weather.
    On the other hand, it is vital to include in a small town’s Emergency Response Plan the possibility of the mass migration of displaced victims, especially if the small town in question is located along a high speed avenue of flight from a large city. Should a large city find itself the victim of a chemical, biological, or radiological (CBR) attack, human nature is to flee. With the possible exception of the city First Responders, a significant percentage of the rest of the population will evacuate. As seen in the Gulf Coast region during Hurricane Katrina, the local population will attempt to shelter in place when faced with weather conditions that they believe they comprehend (rain, flooding, etc.) but when faced with “the invisible death”, they will attempt to flee. This evacuation cannot be expected to be either orderly or in accordance with established evacuation plans. It must be assumed that a CBR event will overwhelm and render the city’s First Response assets and infrastructure useless. Displaced victims of this CBR event will attempt to find the fastest route away from the impacted area. They cannot be expected to have emergency provisions, nor can they be expected to possess any degree of self-reliance. They will use whatever transportation assets are available, whether sound or not, and will soon realize that they need shelter, food, medical facilities, and basic living needs (such as restroom facilities). Depending on its size, a small town’s infrastructure might be able to absorb the increased strain on its resources posed by the sudden arrival of large numbers of displaced victims. For a small rural community, there is a very good chance that the incoming wave of displaced victims could roll right over it, sweeping away existing plans, and resulting in the destruction of the community in the interim. City planners must determine the largest possible numbers of displaced person that could be expected. Provisions should be made to route evacuation traffic either through or around the town, dissuading those victims with the ability to continue traveling. The flow of displaced victims should be planned with an end-point, a city or town large enough to provide for the needs of a majority of the expected volume of evacuees.
    The highest priority in the event of a CBR event in a neighboring large city is the need to establish reliable communications. Phone service cannot be relied upon during this period of time, regardless of whether the service is via land line or cellular. Radio communications will be the most reliable form of communication, and First Responders should establish their communications net as soon as possible. The services provided by the Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES) and the Radio Amateur Civil Emergency Service (RACES) can assist First Responders in establishing reliable communications, providing trained amateur radio operators to assist in handling message traffic. Most members of these organizations are prepared to respond to emergencies, and can be self-sufficient for at least 24 hours.
    Second on the list of priorities is emergency medical care. Most rural towns rely upon a volunteer Fire Service for both Fire Suppression and Emergency Medical Technicians. These volunteers are well-versed in dealing with emergencies common in their jurisdictions, but cannot be expected to be proficient in responding to medical complications stemming from a CBR event. Training prior to the event will prevent additional “downstream” casualties (such as radiation sickness from a previously exposed victim, cross contamination from a victim of a biological agent, etc.) Those Fire Personnel not involved in Medical Response should be familiar with Decontamination Protocols, and Hot-Line procedures.
    Third on the list of priorities is the safety and security of the town. This aspect of the response is the most difficult to determine. Much depends on the psychological condition of the evacuees. There is the possibility of mass hysteria and panic. This possibility can be alleviated through clear and simple communications. Prior planning will allow town representatives to inform the evacuees as to where they are being expected to go. Town representatives who give a calm, unified, compassionate appearance will do much to spread calm through the crowds of evacuees (which, if not handled with care, can devolve into a mob). Even the appearance of orderliness in the face of uncertainty can soothe the fears of evacuees. It is not recommended that the town representatives establish an armed response to the evacuees, as this will have a negative effect, but the town should have a contingency plan in case the crowd becomes hostile. This plan should only be enacted as a very last resort. Unfortunately, Law Enforcement assets will be unreliable at best, given the overwhelming nature of a CBR event. Prior planning can identify whether there are citizens of the town qualified and capable of managing a security contingent until relived by the proper law enforcement authorities (consider SCOPE and CERT programs). This issue should be resolved with the proper authorities prior to implementation of the emergency plan.

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